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Barnsley
Championship | Gameweek 40
Jun 30, 2020 at 6pm UK
Oakwell Ground
Blackburn logo

Barnsley
2 - 0
Blackburn

Chaplin (58'), Brown (76')
Simoes (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Davenport (90+1'), Chapman (90+4')

Preview: Barnsley vs. Blackburn Rovers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship meeting between Barnsley and Blackburn Rovers, including team news and predicted lineups.

Barnsley welcome Blackburn Rovers to Oakwell on Tuesday evening having moved to within four points of safety in the Championship table.

Meanwhile, Rovers are now four points adrift in the race for the playoffs after losing out at in-form Wigan Athletic on Saturday afternoon.


Match preview

Blackburn Rovers boss Tony Mowbray on June 20, 2020© Reuters

Like many of the teams in contention for a playoff spot, Blackburn have dropped points since the resumption, resulting in ground being lost on the top six.

Had Cardiff City not defeated Leeds United and Preston North End, Tony Mowbray would have a different perspective on his team's current situation, but the form of the Bluebirds has left several clubs now having to play catch-up.

Blackburn had appeared well on their way to building on their success over Bristol City as they entered the final quarter-of-an-hour against Lancashire rivals Wigan Athletic on Saturday afternoon.

However, conceding two late goals have left Rovers under pressure to retain a spot in the top 10 - something which will not be maintained if they suffer defeat on Tuesday.

With Leeds, Cardiff and West Bromwich Albion all to come in quick succession, Mowbray will feel that it is imperative that three points are posted against opponents who are well on track to pull off the great escape.

After a seven-game winless run, Gerhard Struber has guided Barnsley to 13 points over the same number of fixtures, a points-per-game ratio which is on par with the top two.

While Struber or his players will not be getting ahead of themselves, recording four points and two clean sheets from games against Queens Park Rangers and Millwall will have only increased the growing optimism at the club.

Over the remaining seven fixtures, Barnsley face a mix of games against teams fighting for promotion and relegation, but that should theoretically remove the chances of any complacency which may have set in against sides which have little to play for.

At a time when the defence have registered five shutouts over seven games, there is pressure on the attack, who have netted just three times from their last six outings.

Barnsley Championship form: WWLLWD

Blackburn Rovers Championship form: DDDLWL


Team News

Blackburn Rovers' Adam Armstrong celebrates scoring their first goal on December 7, 2019© Reuters

Blackburn manager Mowbray will likely hand a recall to striker Adam Armstrong, with Joe Rothwell potentially dropping out of the side.

However, Rovers will be without John Buckley, who serves the final game of his three-match ban, and the injured Corry Evans.

Amari'i Bell and Derrick Williams may earn a spot among the replacements after a spell on the sidelines.

Barring any late issues, Struber could opt against making any alternations to his Barnsley XI.

Having being brought off at half time against Millwall, youngster Elliot Simoes appears to be most at risk of losing his place in the team.

Barnsley possible starting lineup:
Sahin-Radlinger; Solibauer, Andersen, Williams; Ludewig, Palmer, Mowatt, Ritzmaier; Chaplin; Brown, Woodrow

Blackburn Rovers possible starting lineup:
Walton; Nyambe, Lenihan, Adarabioyo, Bennett; Holtby, Travis, Downing; Armstrong, Gallagher, Brereton


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Barnsley 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

While Barnsley are the form team heading into this contest, Blackburn have made a habit of picking up results to keep themselves in the playoff race. Despite being the marginal outsiders on Tuesday night, we expect Mowbray's team to battle their way to a narrow win.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.


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Barnsley boss Gerhard Struber on February 8, 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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