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Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Mar 31, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Atletico Tucuman

Independiente
1 - 1
Tucuman

Isla (89')
Costa (20')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bajamich (34')
Estigarribia (45+6'), Tesuri (81'), Romero (90+5')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Atletico Tucuman.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tucuman 2-2 Independiente Rivadavia
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 46.08%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 24.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.17%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
IndependienteDrawAtletico Tucuman
46.08% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 29.67% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 24.25% (-0.081 -0.08)
Both teams to score 38.94% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.05% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)66.95% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.77% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)85.23% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.61% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)29.39% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)65.37% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.15% (-0.129 -0.13)44.85% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.19% (-0.103 -0.1)80.81% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 46.07%
    Atletico Tucuman 24.24%
    Draw 29.66%
IndependienteDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 16.13% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.88% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 46.07%
0-0 @ 13.17% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-1 @ 12.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 29.66%
0-1 @ 10.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 24.24%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 12am
Gameweek 12
Tucuman
1-2
Independiente
Estigarribia (19')
Ortiz (34'), Tesuri (45+7'), Acosta (64')
Laso (74'), Canelo (90+4')
Lopez (61'), Laso (68'), Baez (89')
Jul 23, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 26
Tucuman
1-0
Independiente
Estigarribia (19' pen.)
Guille (23'), Romero (41'), Ortiz (63'), Ruiz (68'), Bianchi (86'), Ojeda (90+7')
Bianchi (90+5')

Costa (45+4'), Ortiz (70'), Laso (73'), Martinez (90+4'), Gimenez Rojas (90+6')
Jul 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Independiente
0-1
Tucuman

Barreto (31'), Elizalde (78')
Lotti (1')
Ruiz (49'), Acosta (62')
Aug 24, 2021 10.45pm
Second Phase
Tucuman
2-0
Independiente
Mussis (86'), Tesuri (87')
Campos (44'), Tesuri (88')

Ortega (45+2'), Ostachuk (56')
May 2, 2021 4.10pm
First Phase
Independiente
0-1
Tucuman

Barreto (55'), Romero (74')
Heredia (44')
Toledo (5'), Bustos (64'), Albornoz (72'), Acosta (85')
rhs 2.0
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