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Atletico Tucuman
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Mar 17, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro

Tucuman
2 - 2
Independiente Rivadavia

Acosta (18'), Tesuri (33')
Acosta (26'), Tesuri (49')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Abecasis (71'), Sartori (82')
Ostchega (26'), Ruiz (50'), Abecasis (88')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and Independiente Rivadavia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Talleres 4-1 Tucuman
Sunday, March 10 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 1-2 Deportivo Riestra
Tuesday, March 12 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 21.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Independiente Rivadavia win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawIndependiente Rivadavia
51.76% (-1.065 -1.07) 27.22% (0.394 0.39) 21.02% (0.671 0.67)
Both teams to score 41.52% (-0.131 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.03% (-0.63099999999999 -0.63)61.97% (0.633 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.28% (-0.466 -0.47)81.71% (0.468 0.47)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (-0.754 -0.75)24.24% (0.754 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.41% (-1.08 -1.08)58.59% (1.082 1.08)
Independiente Rivadavia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.8% (0.367 0.37)45.2% (-0.364 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.91% (0.29 0.29)81.09% (-0.288 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 51.75%
    Independiente Rivadavia 21.02%
    Draw 27.22%
Atletico TucumanDrawIndependiente Rivadavia
1-0 @ 15.52% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.2% (-0.227 -0.23)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 51.75%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 10.95% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 3.47%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.289 0.29)
1-2 @ 4.9% (0.106 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.45% (0.149 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 0.92% (0.009 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 21.02%

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