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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Mar 31, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
2 - 1
Deportivo Riestra

Morales (39'), Ramirez (73')
Rodriguez (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Herrera (64')
Celiz (52'), Ortiz (58')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Deportivo Riestra.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Gimnasia
Sunday, March 17 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 1-0 Independiente
Friday, March 15 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.

Result
GimnasiaDrawDeportivo Riestra
51.52% (-0.102 -0.1) 27.38% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 21.1% (0.09 0.09)
Both teams to score 41.21% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.59% (0.039000000000001 0.04)62.41% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.96% (0.028000000000002 0.03)82.04% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)24.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)59.03% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Deportivo Riestra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.62% (0.121 0.12)45.38% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.76% (0.096 0.1)81.24% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 51.51%
    Deportivo Riestra 21.1%
    Draw 27.37%
GimnasiaDrawDeportivo Riestra
1-0 @ 15.64% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 51.51%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.43% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.88% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.48% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 21.1%

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