AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 24, 2023 at 3pm UK
Paxtakor Markaziy Stadion
Pakhtakor3 - 0Ahal
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tagayew (21'), Tursunov (31'), Ravshanow (62')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Pakhtakor Tashkent and Ahal.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Al Fayha 2-0 Pakhtakor
Tuesday, October 3 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Tuesday, October 3 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 69.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Ahal had a probability of 11.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 2-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Ahal win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pakhtakor Tashkent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pakhtakor Tashkent | Draw | Ahal |
69.42% ( 0.03) | 18.92% ( -0.01) | 11.66% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.54% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
