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AFC Champions League | Round of 16
Feb 20, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Fahd Stadium

Al-Hilal
3 - 1
Shabab Al-Ahli

Ighalo (17'), Jang (73'), Vietto (79')
Abdul Hamid (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Khribin (86')
Khribin (46'), Naser (81')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Al-Hilal and Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Real Madrid 5-3 Al-Hilal
Saturday, February 11 at 7pm in Club World Cup
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Last Game: Foolad 1-1 Shabab Al-Ahli
Tuesday, April 26 at 9.15pm in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawShabab Al-Ahli Dubai
50.15% (0.126 0.13) 24.91% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 24.93% (-0.093 -0.09)
Both teams to score 52.05% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61% (0.063000000000002 0.06)50.38% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.67% (0.055999999999997 0.06)72.32% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (0.076000000000008 0.08)20.1% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.65% (0.124 0.12)52.34% (-0.124 -0.12)
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.14% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)34.85% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.41% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)71.59% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 50.15%
    Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 24.93%
    Draw 24.9%
Al-HilalDrawShabab Al-Ahli Dubai
1-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.08% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.82% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 50.15%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.9%
0-1 @ 7.38% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 24.93%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Shabab Al-Ahli

Al-Hilal
61.5%
Draw
23.1%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2021 8pm
Al-Hilal
0-2
Shabab Al-Ahli

Kanoo (52')
Jesus (54' pen., 90')
Ali (59'), K. Alnuaimi (62'), Juma Eid (81'), Eduardo (88'), Hamza (90+6')
Apr 18, 2021 8pm
Shabab Al-Ahli
0-2
Al-Hilal

Naser (29'), Alghassani (35'), Mohamed Sanqour Qambar Mubarak Al Mazam (54'), Ahmed Hassan (90+4')
Gomis (14'), Carrillo (28')
Babhir (57'), Al Maiouf (80')
Feb 17, 2020 1.30pm
Shabab Al-Ahli
1-2
Al-Hilal
Jaber (24')
Ali (13'), Hussain (68'), (75')
Gomis (36', 72')
Al Burayk (65')
rhs 2.0
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14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
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19Burnley3659223974-3524
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