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FC Cincinnati
US Open Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jun 7, 2023 at 12am UK
Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
3 - 1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Vazquez (56'), Barreal (71'), Arias (90+2')
Nwobodo (11'), Murphy (29'), Badji (35'), Acosta (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Showunmi (90+4')
Biasi (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's US Open Cup clash between FC Cincinnati and Pittsburgh Riverhounds, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Cincy are not nearly as susceptible along the back end as the Revs or Columbus, and like Pittsburgh, they have won their share of close 1-0 games throughout the campaign. Expect the Hounds to try and swarm the Orange and Blue with numerous players behind the ball, it is just difficult to envision the visitors creating much against such a deep squad like Cincinnati, let alone keep them off the scoresheet for 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 52.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Pittsburgh Riverhounds had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Pittsburgh Riverhounds win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawPittsburgh Riverhounds
52.81% (1.282 1.28) 25.29% (0.168 0.17) 21.9% (-1.453 -1.45)
Both teams to score 47.58% (-2.188 -2.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41% (-2.013 -2.01)54.58% (2.009 2.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07% (-1.697 -1.7)75.93% (1.694 1.69)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (-0.27799999999999 -0.28)20.68% (0.275 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.72% (-0.438 -0.44)53.27% (0.434 0.43)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.99% (-2.539 -2.54)40.01% (2.535 2.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.34% (-2.407 -2.41)76.66% (2.404 2.4)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 52.79%
    Pittsburgh Riverhounds 21.9%
    Draw 25.28%
FC CincinnatiDrawPittsburgh Riverhounds
1-0 @ 13.03% (0.88 0.88)
2-0 @ 10.27% (0.612 0.61)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.4% (0.281 0.28)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-0 @ 2.13% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 52.79%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.27% (0.627 0.63)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.342 -0.34)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 7.58% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.47% (-0.384 -0.38)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.245 -0.25)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 21.9%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

FC Cincinnati
90.9%
Draw
0.0%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
9.1%
11
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for FC Cincinnati
rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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