Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 63.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 14.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.55%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Inter Milan |
14.57% ( 0.66) | 21.64% ( 0.9) | 63.78% ( -1.55) |
Both teams to score 45.26% ( -1.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.22% ( -2.32) | 50.78% ( 2.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.32% ( -2.09) | 72.67% ( 2.08) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.43% ( -0.45) | 46.57% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.84% ( -0.35) | 82.16% ( 0.35) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.71% ( -1.24) | 15.29% ( 1.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56% ( -2.39) | 44% ( 2.39) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.22% Total : 14.57% | 1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.64) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.64% | 0-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.65) 0-2 @ 12.55% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 7.86% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 6.01% ( -0.31) 0-4 @ 3.69% ( -0.32) 1-4 @ 2.82% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.15) 0-5 @ 1.39% ( -0.19) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.12) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.06% Total : 63.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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