Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 68.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Cagliari |
68.39% | 18.66% | 12.95% |
Both teams to score 50.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.49% | 41.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.08% | 63.91% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.9% | 11.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.5% | 35.5% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.75% | 43.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.5% | 79.5% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Cagliari |
2-0 @ 11.6% 1-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 8.5% 3-1 @ 7.13% 4-0 @ 4.67% 4-1 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 2.99% 5-0 @ 2.05% 5-1 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 3.89% Total : 68.38% | 1-1 @ 8.85% 0-0 @ 4.8% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.94% Total : 18.66% | 0-1 @ 4.02% 1-2 @ 3.71% 0-2 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.14% 1-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.36% Total : 12.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |