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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Salernitana

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Salernitana

Bonaventura (15'), Jovic (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dia (55')
Radovanovic (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Cremonese
Saturday, November 5 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Salernitana

Fiorentina are enjoying a good run of form in all competitions as the World Cup break draws closer, but they still have a lot of work to do in order to catch up with those clubs challenging for European places in Serie A. Salernitana have improved after a woeful start to the campaign and now face two away assignments before the league pauses until January, but a trip to face Italiano's men may be where the good results of late begin to dry up. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 70.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 11.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSalernitana
70.81% (0.768 0.77) 17.89% (-0.249 -0.25) 11.3% (-0.523 -0.52)
Both teams to score 47.78% (-0.902 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.73% (-0.271 -0.27)42.27% (0.265 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.32% (-0.273 -0.27)64.67% (0.268 0.27)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.31% (0.12 0.12)10.68% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.42% (0.27500000000001 0.28)34.57% (-0.282 -0.28)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.49% (-1.088 -1.09)46.5% (1.082 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.89% (-0.846 -0.85)82.11% (0.84 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 70.8%
    Salernitana 11.3%
    Draw 17.89%
FiorentinaDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 12.42% (0.28 0.28)
1-0 @ 11.1% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 9.26% (0.252 0.25)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.18% (0.167 0.17)
4-1 @ 3.97% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.092 -0.09)
5-0 @ 2.32% (0.086 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.77% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 70.8%
1-1 @ 8.51% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 17.89%
0-1 @ 3.8% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-2 @ 3.26% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-2 @ 1.46% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 11.3%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Salernitana

Fiorentina
76.3%
Draw
14.5%
Salernitana
9.2%
76
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 11.30am
Dec 11, 2021 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16Empoli3588192650-2432
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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