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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Lazio logo

Fiorentina
0 - 4
Lazio


Amrabat (24'), Julio (27'), Mandragora (68'), Dodo (70')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Vecino (11'), Zaccagni (25'), Alberto (85'), Immobile (90+1')
Lazzari (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 0-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sturm Graz 0-0 Lazio
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Fiorentina 1-2 Lazio

On the back of their ruthless showing against Hearts, Fiorentina will believe that they can replicate that performance on Monday evening. However, we cannot ignore Lazio's recent form, leading us to predict a hard-fought victory for a team who are relishing the challenge of gatecrashing the top four this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawLazio
47.7% (0.657 0.66) 25.16% (-0.194 -0.19) 27.13% (-0.462 -0.46)
Both teams to score 53.2% (0.265 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.19% (0.515 0.52)49.81% (-0.514 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19% (0.458 0.46)71.81% (-0.45699999999999 -0.46)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.1% (0.498 0.5)20.9% (-0.497 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.38% (0.774 0.77)53.62% (-0.774 -0.77)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)32.74% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.7% (-0.1 -0.1)69.3% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 47.7%
    Lazio 27.13%
    Draw 25.16%
FiorentinaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 10.71% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.38% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.38% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.067 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 47.7%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 27.13%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Lazio

Fiorentina
17.8%
Draw
11.5%
Lazio
70.7%
314
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 7.45pm
Fiorentina
0-3
Lazio

Bonaventura (50'), Torreira (55')
Torreira (85')
Milinkovic-Savic (52'), Immobile (70'), Biraghi (81' og.)
Leiva (30'), Pedro (45+1'), Lazzari (67'), Patric (83'), Strakosha (85')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Lazio
1-0
Fiorentina
Pedro (52')
Cataldi (56'), Alberto (78'), Immobile (81')

Castrovilli (24'), Biraghi (47'), Duncan (68')
May 8, 2021 7.45pm
Fiorentina
2-0
Lazio
Vlahovic (32', 89')
Venuti (5'), Vlahovic (44'), Pezzella (58'), Iachini (88'), Caceres (90+2')

Acerbi (28'), Leiva (60'), Radu (66'), Felipe (74'), Pereira (77'), Cataldi (90+1'), Akpa-Akpro (90+6')
Pereira (90+5')
Jan 6, 2021 2pm
Lazio
2-1
Fiorentina
Caicedo (6'), Immobile (75')
Felipe (43'), Escalante (45'), Hoedt (87')
Vlahovic (88' pen.)
Castrovilli (82')
Jun 27, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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