Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Sep 15, 2022 at 8pm UK
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 2-1 Fiorentina
The two teams head into this encounter in contrasting form, with Istanbul Basaksehir going from strength to strength so far this season.
Fiorentina will be fired up to put an end to their winless streak, but we can see the hosts coming away with a slender win in Istanbul.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 25.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Fiorentina |
48.34% ( 0.05) | 25.99% ( -0) | 25.66% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.46% ( -0.03) |
