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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 8, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Bologna logo

Atalanta
0 - 2
Bologna


Zappacosta (11'), Luis Palomino (68'), Djimsiti (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sansone (49'), Orsolini (86')
Lucumi (61'), Orsolini (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cremonese 1-3 Atalanta
Saturday, April 1 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 3-0 Udinese
Sunday, April 2 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Bologna

Atalanta finally have a handful of strikers fit and nearing top form, so should score at least once against a team which has conceded at a rate of two goals per game when on the road; Bologna have been brilliant in Emilia-Romagna recently, but less impressive away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawBologna
68.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 18.7% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 12.74% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.65% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)42.23% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)64.64% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.74% (0.022000000000006 0.02)11.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.15% (0.040999999999997 0.04)35.85% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.95% (0.0039999999999978 0)44.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.83% (0.0039999999999978 0)80.17% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 68.55%
    Bologna 12.74%
    Draw 18.7%
Atalanta BCDrawBologna
2-0 @ 11.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 8.61% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 4.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.68% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 68.55%
1-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.98%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 18.7%
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.64% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-2 @ 1.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.09%
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 12.74%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Bologna

Atalanta BC
76.0%
Draw
20.0%
Bologna
4.0%
50
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2023 7.45pm
Bologna
1-2
Atalanta
Orsolini (6')
Medel (66'), Lykogiannis (84'), Dominguez (90+4')
Koopmeiners (47'), Hojlund (58')
de Roon (26'), Pasalic (38')
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
Atalanta
0-0
Bologna

Gosens (36'), Luis Palomino (79')

Medel (35'), Sansone (49'), Arnautovic (53'), Hickey (58'), Svanberg (64')
Apr 25, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
5-0
Bologna
Malinovskyi (22'), Muriel (44' pen.), Freuler (57'), Zapata (59'), Miranchuk (73')

Larangeira (44')
Schouten (49')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Bologna
2-2
Atalanta
Tomiyasu (73'), Paz (82')
Mihajlovic (77'), Palacio (84'), da Costa (86')
Muriel (22' pen., 23')
Gosens (18'), Djimsiti (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16Empoli3588192650-2432
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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