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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 11, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Atalanta logo

Napoli
2 - 0
Atalanta

Kvaratskhelia (60'), Rrahmani (77')
Osimhen (18')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ruggeri (15'), Scalvini (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Lazio
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Atalanta BC

Only one of the last 15 Serie A encounters between Napoli and Atalanta has been drawn, and that trend can continue this week as the hosts get back on track after a rare taste of defeat. Their fearsome front line cannot be denied for another 90 minutes, while their visitors have suddenly run short of goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
NapoliDrawAtalanta BC
60.37% (0.57100000000001 0.57) 20.83% (-0.087 -0.09) 18.8% (-0.485 -0.48)
Both teams to score 56.9% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.14% (-0.362 -0.36)39.85% (0.364 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.79% (-0.377 -0.38)62.21% (0.38 0.38)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.19% (0.051000000000002 0.05)12.81% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.86% (0.10599999999999 0.11)39.13% (-0.104 -0.1)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (-0.718 -0.72)34.74% (0.72 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53% (-0.764 -0.76)71.47% (0.767 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 60.37%
    Atalanta BC 18.8%
    Draw 20.83%
NapoliDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.194 0.19)
1-0 @ 9.15% (0.171 0.17)
3-1 @ 6.81% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.145 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.31% (0.081 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.36% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 60.37%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.45% (0.075 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.83%
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 18.8%

How you voted: Napoli vs Atalanta

Napoli
87.1%
Draw
8.9%
Atalanta BC
4.0%
101
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 5pm
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (19' pen.)
Demiral (36')
Osimhen (23'), Elmas (35')
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Atalanta
1-3
Napoli
De Roon (58')
Luis Palomino (35'), de Roon (86')
Insigne (14' pen.), Politano (37'), Elmas (81')
Jesus (67'), Ospina (76'), Zambo Anguissa (85')
Dec 4, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
2-3
Atalanta
Zielinski (40'), Mertens (47')
Rrahmani (58'), Malcuit (64')
Malinovskyi (7'), Demiral (66'), Freuler (71')
Malinovskyi (17'), Pasalic (82'), Djimsiti (87')
Feb 21, 2021 5pm
Atalanta
4-2
Napoli
Zapata (52'), Gosens (64'), Muriel (71'), Romero (79')
Djimsiti (55'), Gosens (87')
Piero Gasperini (26')
Zielinski (58'), Gosens (76' og.)
Di Lorenzo (6')
Feb 10, 2021 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Atalanta
3-1
Napoli
Zapata (10'), Pessina (16', 78')
Luis Palomino (7')
Lozano (53')
Hysaj (25'), Zielinski (57'), Di Lorenzo (75'), Insigne (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16Empoli3588192650-2432
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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