Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
16 | Moreirense | 33 | -17 | 29 |
17 | Tondela | 34 | -26 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 46.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 26.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Moreirense |
46.03% | 27.57% | 26.41% |
Both teams to score 45.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.69% | 59.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.29% | 79.71% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.23% | 25.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.29% | 60.71% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.52% | 38.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.77% | 75.23% |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 13.44% 2-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 8.71% 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.4% 4-1 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.1% Total : 46.02% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 9.47% 1-2 @ 6.13% 0-2 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.56% Total : 26.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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