Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
7 | Santa Clara | 34 | -16 | 40 |
8 | Maritimo | 33 | -3 | 38 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 53.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
53.39% ( -0.77) | 24.23% ( 0.43) | 22.38% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 51.26% ( -0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.98% ( -1.41) | 50.01% ( 1.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28% ( -1.27) | 71.99% ( 1.27) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.33% ( -0.82) | 18.67% ( 0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50% ( -1.4) | 50% ( 1.4) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.03% ( -0.47) | 36.97% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.24% ( -0.46) | 73.75% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.39% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.72% Total : 22.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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