Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.44%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (12.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
33.64% | 29.53% | 36.83% |
Both teams to score 43.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.35% | 63.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.06% | 82.94% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.75% | 35.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28% | 72% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.9% | 33.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.31% | 69.69% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 12.16% 2-1 @ 7.01% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.12% Total : 33.63% | 1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 11.66% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.52% | 0-1 @ 12.89% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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