Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Estoril Praia |
37.66% | 29.14% | 33.19% |
Both teams to score 44.3% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.56% | 62.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.94% | 82.06% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.05% | 31.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.6% | 68.4% |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.09% | 34.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.35% | 71.64% |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 12.72% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 7.26% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.84% Total : 37.65% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 11.14% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.13% | 0-1 @ 11.73% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.18% Total : 33.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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