Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.24%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 28.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.54%) and 1-2 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
28.53% | 29.24% | 42.24% |
Both teams to score 42.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.19% | 63.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.95% | 83.05% |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.79% | 39.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.08% | 75.92% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.07% | 29.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.97% | 66.03% |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 6.2% 2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.61% 3-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.49% Total : 28.52% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.23% | 0-1 @ 14.15% 0-2 @ 8.54% 1-2 @ 8% 0-3 @ 3.43% 1-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.04% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.39% Total : 42.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |