Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Famalicao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
53.66% ( 0.08) | 25.77% ( -0.04) | 20.58% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 44.61% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.39% ( 0.08) | 57.61% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.62% ( 0.06) | 78.38% ( -0.06) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.44% ( 0.07) | 21.56% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.37% ( 0.1) | 54.63% ( -0.1) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.87% | 43.13% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.6% ( 0) | 79.4% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 14.26% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 53.64% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 27 | 49 | 79 |
3 | Porto | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 27 | 35 | 69 |
4 | Braga | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 71 | 49 | 22 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 52 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 36 |
12 | Casa Pia | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 35 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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