Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Boavista |
43.14% ( -0.65) | 27.43% ( -0.01) | 29.43% ( 0.66) |
Both teams to score 47.85% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.57% ( 0.29) | 57.43% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.76% ( 0.23) | 78.24% ( -0.23) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.62% ( -0.21) | 26.38% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.46% ( -0.27) | 61.53% ( 0.27) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65% ( 0.66) | 35% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.26% ( 0.69) | 71.74% ( -0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.07% Total : 43.13% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.13% Total : 29.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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