MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 23:56:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Porto

Estoril
1 - 0
Porto

Cassiano (69')
Zanocelo (45+5'), Tavares (46'), Marques (81'), Carne (81'), Pina (89')
Vital (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mario (37'), Pepe (65'), Gonzalez (77'), Conceicao (78'), Evanilson (88'), Pepe (90+1'), Otavio (90+1')
Costa (65'), Conceicao (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Portimonense
Friday, March 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 4-1 Vizela
Saturday, March 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-3 Porto

Given the stakes of this weekend's clash for both sides, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota. However, Porto boast the firepower needed to get this one over the line and we fancy them to extend their dominance over the Canarinhos. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.67%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
19.31% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 22.02% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 58.67% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.74% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.53% (0.052 0.05)44.47% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.16% (0.051000000000002 0.05)66.85% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.1% (0.0049999999999955 0)36.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.31% (0.004999999999999 0)73.69%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17% (0.037000000000006 0.04)14.83% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.86% (0.064 0.06)43.14% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 19.31%
    Porto 58.66%
    Draw 22.02%
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 5.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 2.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.65%
3-0 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 19.31%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.02%
0-1 @ 10.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.97% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 6.34% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.32% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 3.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.5% (0.0039999999999998 0)
0-5 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
1-5 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 58.66%

How you voted: Estoril vs Porto

Estoril Praia
13.8%
Draw
6.9%
Porto
79.3%
29
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2024 8.45pm
Round of 16
Estoril
0-4
Porto

Marques (45+1'), Marques (45+2'), Alvaro (49')
Evanilson (24', 31', 56'), Galeno (76')
Gonzalez (53'), Wendell (79')
Dec 6, 2023 6pm
Group Stage
Estoril
3-1
Porto
Cassiano (22'), Guitane (90+1'), Carlos (90+5' pen.)
Feltes (72')
Pepe (34')
Grujic (53'), Taremi (55'), Eustaquio (71'), Cardoso (83'), Carmo (90+4')
Nov 3, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Porto
0-1
Estoril

Eustaquio (29'), Conceicao (31'), Gonzalez (70'), Carmo (74'), Martinez (78')
Holsgrove (75')
Feltes (10'), Fernandes (35'), Marques (39'), Vital (45+1'), Alvaro (55'), Araujo (56'), Carne (84')
Mar 10, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 24
Porto
3-2
Estoril
Grujic (9'), Franco (31'), Taremi (73' pen.)
Gouveia (27'), Geraldes (67' pen.)
Sep 17, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 7
Estoril
1-1
Porto
Gouveia (41')
Taremi (90+9' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon31263289296081
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto31196657263163
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31186746321460
6MoreirenseMoreirense31137113234-246
7AroucaArouca311361253421145
8FamalicaoFamalicao31812113339-636
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10Estoril PraiaEstoril3196164652-633
11Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
12Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
13SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
14BoavistaBoavista3179153557-2230
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3177173466-3228
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela31410173063-3322


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!