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Estoril
Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 9, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Porto

Estoril
0 - 4
Porto


Marques (45+1'), Marques (45+2'), Alvaro (49')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Evanilson (24', 31' pen., 56'), Galeno (76')
Gonzalez (53'), Wendell (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Estoril Praia and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-1 Estoril
Friday, January 5 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Porto
Friday, January 5 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Porto

 Having suffered a slip-up in their first outing of the year, Porto will head into the cup tie looking to quickly find their feet. While we expect Estoril to put up a fight at home, where they have been tough to crack of late, Conceicao's men boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we fancy them to come away with the desired result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
22.25% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 24.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 53.26% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 50.3% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.79% (-0.067 -0.07)51.21% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.95% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)73.05% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.23% (-0.12 -0.12)37.77% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.46% (-0.118 -0.12)74.54% (0.119 0.12)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.82% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)19.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01)50.85% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 22.25%
    Porto 53.26%
    Draw 24.49%
Estoril PraiaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 7.05% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-1 @ 5.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.84% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 22.25%
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.24% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 11.96% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 9.88% (0.032 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.62%
0-3 @ 5.44% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 53.26%

How you voted: Estoril vs Porto

Estoril Praia
26.5%
Draw
13.2%
Porto
60.3%
68
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2023 6pm
Group Stage
Estoril
3-1
Porto
Cassiano (22'), Guitane (90+1'), Carlos (90+5' pen.)
Feltes (72')
Pepe (34')
Grujic (53'), Taremi (55'), Eustaquio (71'), Cardoso (83'), Carmo (90+4')
> Preview
Nov 3, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Porto
0-1
Estoril

Eustaquio (29'), Conceicao (31'), Gonzalez (70'), Carmo (74'), Martinez (78')
Holsgrove (75')
Feltes (10'), Fernandes (35'), Marques (39'), Vital (45+1'), Alvaro (55'), Araujo (56'), Carne (84')
> Preview
Mar 10, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 24
Porto
3-2
Estoril
Grujic (9'), Franco (31'), Taremi (73' pen.)
Gouveia (27'), Geraldes (67' pen.)
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 7
Estoril
1-1
Porto
Gouveia (41')
Taremi (90+9' pen.)
> Preview
May 14, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 34
Porto
2-0
Estoril
Joaozinho (48' og.), Fernando (88')
> Preview
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