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Premier League 2 - Div 2
Jan 13, 2023 at 7pm UK
Staplewood Training Ground

Saints U21s
4 - 1
Newcastle U21s

Payne (15'), Doyle (61'), Morgan (63'), Ballard (81' pen.)
Pearce (27'), Turner (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ndiweni (85')
Brookwell (6'), Murphy (21'), Miley (52'), Barclay (90+2')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Southampton Under-21s and Newcastle United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Saints U21s 3-0 Derby U21s
Friday, January 6 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 67.36%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Southampton Under-21sDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
67.36% (-0.11099999999999 -0.11) 16.6% (0.041 0.04) 16.04% (0.074 0.07)
Both teams to score 67.47% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.97% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)24.03% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.36% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)43.64% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.28% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)6.72% (0.034 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.14% (-0.086999999999989 -0.09)24.87% (0.09 0.09)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.33% (0.046000000000006 0.05)27.67% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.78% (0.057000000000002 0.06)63.22% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Southampton Under-21s 67.36%
    Newcastle United Under-21s 16.04%
    Draw 16.6%
Southampton Under-21sDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.84% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.1% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.29% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 5.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 5.02% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 3.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 2.86% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.84% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.46%
6-1 @ 1.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 67.36%
1-1 @ 6.45% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 1.86% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 16.6%
1-2 @ 4.14% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.39% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.54% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 16.04%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Newcastle U21s
3-2
Saints U21s
Stephenson (4'), Westendorf (60'), White (81')
Ballard (18'), Lawrence (38')
Bragg (31')
rhs 2.0
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