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Premier League 2 - Div 2
Oct 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
 

Newcastle U21s
3 - 2
Saints U21s

Stephenson (4'), Westendorf (60'), White (81')
Scott (52'), Westendorf (62'), Huntley (63'), Carlyon (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ballard (18'), Lawrence (38')
Bragg (31'), Ballard (33'), Lawrence (44'), Small (57'), Turner (80')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Newcastle United Under-21s and Southampton Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.33%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawSouthampton Under-21s
49.35% (0.491 0.49) 21.83% (-0.064 -0.06) 28.82% (-0.433 -0.43)
Both teams to score 66.22% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)33.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.97% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)55.02% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.04% (0.16 0.16)13.96% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.55% (0.322 0.32)41.45% (-0.327 -0.33)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (-0.26400000000001 -0.26)23.03% (0.257 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.15% (-0.384 -0.38)56.85% (0.377 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United Under-21s 49.35%
    Southampton Under-21s 28.82%
    Draw 21.83%
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawSouthampton Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.15% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.33% (0.034 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 4.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.047 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.17% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.01% (0.047 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.025 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 49.35%
1-1 @ 9.3% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.72% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.22% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 2.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.83%
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 28.82%

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