EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 18, 2022 at 7pm UK
LNER Stadium
Lincoln2 - 0Newcastle U21s
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Lincoln City and Newcastle United Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ipswich 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 1-2 Newcastle U21s
Friday, October 14 at 6pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Friday, October 14 at 6pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Goals
for
for
12
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 63.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lincoln City in this match.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
63.77% ( 0.31) | 20.08% ( 0.17) | 16.14% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 53.93% ( -1.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.89% ( -1.7) | 41.1% ( 1.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.5% ( -1.75) | 63.5% ( 1.75) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.77% ( -0.42) | 12.23% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.07% ( -0.9) | 37.92% ( 0.89) |
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.45% ( -1.63) | 38.54% ( 1.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.7% ( -1.59) | 75.29% ( 1.59) |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City 63.76%
Newcastle United Under-21s 16.14%
Draw 20.08%
Lincoln City | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
2-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.59) 3-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.62% Total : 63.76% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.08% | 1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.08% Total : 16.14% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-13 23:49:56
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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