Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for DC United had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
