MX23RW : Monday, May 13 19:07:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadium Municipal
Lens logo

Toulouse
0 - 1
Lens


Kamanzi (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Openda (33')
Frankowski (60'), Samba (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 1-5 Toulouse
Saturday, April 29 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lens 3-0 Monaco
Saturday, April 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 1-1 Lens

Both teams are in excellent form, which should create a fascinating match on Tuesday evening. Lens are in desperate need of all three points to continue their push for a top-two position, but Toulouse will also be full of confidence, so we have had to settle on a draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawLens
26% (0.184 0.18) 22.56% (0.302 0.3) 51.44% (-0.482 -0.48)
Both teams to score 60.98% (-0.899 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.91% (-1.265 -1.27)39.08% (1.269 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.59% (-1.341 -1.34)61.41% (1.345 1.35)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (-0.53399999999999 -0.53)27.96% (0.538 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41% (-0.687 -0.69)63.59% (0.69 0.69)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.64% (-0.613 -0.61)15.36% (0.617 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.87% (-1.164 -1.16)44.13% (1.167 1.17)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 26%
    Lens 51.44%
    Draw 22.56%
ToulouseDrawLens
2-1 @ 6.53% (0.056 0.06)
1-0 @ 5.47% (0.242 0.24)
2-0 @ 3.49% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.075 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 26%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.29% (0.252 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.305 0.31)
0-2 @ 7.54% (0.128 0.13)
1-3 @ 6% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 4.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.82% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-4 @ 2.81% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-4 @ 2.2% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-5 @ 1.05% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 51.44%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Lens

Toulouse
27.2%
Draw
19.4%
Lens
53.4%
103
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2022 8pm
gameweek 13
Lens
3-0
Toulouse
Openda (60', 86', 90+1')
Haidara (67')
Mar 14, 2015 7pm
Oct 24, 2014 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG322010277324570
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice32159837251254
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille321211950391147
9Rennes331210115244846
10Toulouse331110124243-143
11Reims32118133946-741
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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