Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Toulouse in this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Toulouse |
32.07% ( -0.72) | 25.3% ( -0.15) | 42.63% ( 0.86) |
Both teams to score 55.66% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.08% ( 0.41) | 47.92% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.9% ( 0.38) | 70.09% ( -0.38) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.74% ( -0.26) | 28.26% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.03% ( -0.32) | 63.97% ( 0.32) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.59% ( 0.59) | 22.41% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.07% ( 0.88) | 55.93% ( -0.89) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 8% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.07% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.27% Total : 42.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |