Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Toulouse |
35.04% ( 0.09) | 25.68% ( 0.05) | 39.28% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.12% ( -0.2) | 48.87% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.03% ( -0.18) | 70.97% ( 0.19) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.12% ( -0.04) | 26.88% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.8% ( -0.06) | 62.2% ( 0.06) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.49% ( -0.16) | 24.5% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.03% ( -0.23) | 58.96% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.04% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |