Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 53.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Rennes |
20.42% | 25.71% | 53.87% |
Both teams to score 44.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.43% | 57.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.65% | 78.35% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.72% | 43.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.48% | 79.52% |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.55% | 21.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.53% | 54.47% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 7.78% 2-1 @ 5.01% 2-0 @ 3.26% 3-1 @ 1.4% 3-2 @ 1.08% 3-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.42% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 14.29% 0-2 @ 11% 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-3 @ 5.64% 1-3 @ 4.73% 0-4 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.02% Total : 53.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |