Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 75.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 9.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.34%) and 0-3 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
9.08% | 15.72% | 75.2% |
Both teams to score 46.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.16% | 38.83% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.85% | 61.15% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.42% | 48.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.35% | 83.65% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.26% | 8.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.97% | 30.03% |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
1-0 @ 3.06% 2-1 @ 2.7% 2-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.21% Total : 9.08% | 1-1 @ 7.47% 0-0 @ 4.24% 2-2 @ 3.29% Other @ 0.72% Total : 15.72% | 0-2 @ 12.61% 0-1 @ 10.34% 0-3 @ 10.24% 1-2 @ 9.11% 1-3 @ 7.4% 0-4 @ 6.25% 1-4 @ 4.51% 0-5 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.67% 1-5 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 1.63% 0-6 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.95% Total : 75.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 79 | 33 | 46 | 73 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Reims | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
11 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |