Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 77.44%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Metz had a probability of 7.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.38%) and 3-0 (11.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Metz |
77.44% | 14.99% | 7.56% |
Both teams to score 42.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.11% | 40.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.72% | 63.28% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.29% | 8.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.02% | 29.98% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.45% | 53.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13% | 87% |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Metz |
2-0 @ 13.89% 1-0 @ 11.38% 3-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 8.68% 3-1 @ 7.06% 4-0 @ 6.9% 4-1 @ 4.31% 5-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.21% 5-1 @ 2.1% 6-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.52% Total : 77.42% | 1-1 @ 7.11% 0-0 @ 4.67% 2-2 @ 2.71% Other @ 0.51% Total : 14.99% | 0-1 @ 2.91% 1-2 @ 2.22% 0-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.52% Total : 7.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 59 |
2 | Brest | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 46 |
4 | Lille | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 43 |
5 | Nice | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 43 |
6 | Lens | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 42 |
7 | Marseille | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
8 | Rennes | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 39 |
9 | Reims | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 38 |
10 | Lyon | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 34 |
11 | Toulouse | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 29 |
12 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 29 |
13 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 27 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Lorient | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 26 |
16 | NantesNantes | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
17 | Metz | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
18 | Clermont | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 20 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |