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Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade de Gerland
AJ Auxerre

Lyon
2 - 1
Auxerre

Tete (29'), Toko Ekambi (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Autret (80')
Ruiz-Atil (57'), Perrin (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 1-1 Lyon
Sunday, August 28 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 2-1 Auxerre

Look for Lyon to be in a foul mood following a sub-par performance over the weekend, as we anticipate their overall quality will step up on Wednesday against one of the early surprises of the top-flight campaign. Auxerre have come a long way since losing their opening fixture, but they defend deep and rarely take chances going forward with fewer than 40% possession in three matches this season, and we do not believe they will be able to contain a Lyon side with so many attacking weapons over 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 69.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 12.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lyon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lyon.

Result
LyonDrawAuxerre
69.67% (0.148 0.15) 17.37% (-0.061 -0.06) 12.96% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.26% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.7% (0.084999999999994 0.08)35.3% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.67% (0.097000000000001 0.1)57.32% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.89% (0.055999999999997 0.06)9.11% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.06% (0.137 0.14)30.93% (-0.139 -0.14)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.8% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)39.2% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.09% (-0.067 -0.07)75.91% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 69.66%
    Auxerre 12.96%
    Draw 17.37%
LyonDrawAuxerre
2-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.18% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.67% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.9% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 4.59% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-0 @ 2.35% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.2% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 69.66%
1-1 @ 8.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.57% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.37%
1-2 @ 3.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 12.96%

How you voted: Lyon vs Auxerre

Lyon
82.2%
Draw
13.3%
Auxerre
4.4%
45
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2012 4pm
Nov 27, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG322010277324570
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice32159837251254
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille321211950391147
9Rennes331210115244846
10Toulouse331110124243-143
11Reims32118133946-741
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


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