MX23RW : Thursday, May 16 07:55:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Troyes

Lyon
4 - 1
Troyes

Lacazette (3'), Tagliafico (46'), Tete (49', 75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tardieu (39' pen.)
Kouame (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Ajaccio
Friday, August 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 0-3 Toulouse
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 3-1 Troyes

Lyon are certainly prone to the odd defensive error, and Troyes should fancy their chances of experiencing some joy in front of goal with Lopes stuck on the naughty step. However, a consolation strike will likely be the only thing the travelling support have to cheer, as Bosz's abundance of goal-getters should propel Les Gones to a straightforward second win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 72.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 10.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawTroyes
72.55% (-0.255 -0.25) 16.88% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 10.56% (0.165 0.16)
Both teams to score 48.69% (0.305 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.32% (0.073999999999998 0.07)39.68% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.97% (0.078000000000003 0.08)62.03% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)9.57% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.98% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)32.01% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.84% (0.361 0.36)46.15% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.16% (0.279 0.28)81.84% (-0.277 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 72.55%
    Troyes 10.56%
    Draw 16.88%
LyonDrawTroyes
2-0 @ 12.15% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 10.36% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 9.51% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.36% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.58% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.62% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.03% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.016 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 72.55%
1-1 @ 8.01% (0.038999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.64% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 16.88%
0-1 @ 3.41% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.1% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.32% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 10.56%

How you voted: Lyon vs Troyes

Lyon
88.2%
Draw
7.6%
Troyes
4.2%
119
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 4.05pm
Troyes
0-1
Lyon

Rodrigues (45+3'), Giraudon (65')
Dembele (33' pen.)
Gusto (86')
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Lyon
3-1
Troyes
Shaqiri (48'), Palmieri (72'), Paqueta (87')
Paqueta (90+2')
Chavalerin (45')
Azamoum (15'), Giraudon (28'), Biancone (62')
May 6, 2018 3.30pm
Lyon
3-0
Troyes
Traore (28', 35'), Cornet (88')
Tousart (4'), Mendy (78')

Azamoum (20'), Hyun-jun (81')
Oct 22, 2017 4pm
Troyes
0-5
Lyon

Grandsir (19'), Dingome (59')
Herelle (69')
Traore (21'), Depay (49', 66', 70'), Mariano (90')
Morel (16'), Da Silva (33')
Jan 9, 2016 4pm
Lyon
4-1
Troyes
Lacazette (18'), Ghezzal (72'), Ferri (81'), Beauvue (93')
Umtiti (61')
Camus (67')
Nivet (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG332110279334673
2MonacoMonaco33197764422264
3Lille331610750321858
4Brest331610750341658
5Nice33159938271154
6Lens33148114335850
7Lyon33155134754-750
8Marseille3312111050401047
9Rennes331210115244846
10Reims33128134046-644
11Toulouse331110124243-143
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier331011124146-540
13StrasbourgStrasbourg33109143748-1139
14NantesNantes3396183051-2133
15Le HavreLe Havre33711153343-1032
16Metz3385203556-2129
17Lorient3368193866-2826
RClermont33510182655-2925


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!