Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Auxerre |
58.59% ( 0.23) | 22.86% ( 0.28) | 18.55% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 49.72% ( -1.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.85% ( -1.87) | 49.15% ( 1.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.78% ( -1.72) | 71.22% ( 1.71) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.54% ( -0.58) | 16.46% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.84% ( -1.05) | 46.16% ( 1.04) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.52% ( -1.66) | 40.48% ( 1.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.91% ( -1.54) | 77.09% ( 1.54) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Auxerre |
1-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.68) 2-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.01% Total : 58.59% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
11 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |