Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Monaco |
40.46% ( 0.78) | 26.12% ( 0.15) | 33.42% ( -0.94) |
Both teams to score 53.39% ( -0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.95% ( -0.81) | 51.05% ( 0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.09% ( -0.72) | 72.91% ( 0.71) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.13% ( 0.05) | 24.87% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.52% ( 0.06) | 59.48% ( -0.07) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.07% ( -0.98) | 28.93% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.18% ( -1.24) | 64.81% ( 1.24) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 40.46% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |