Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
45.45% ( 0.01) | 23.81% ( -0) | 30.74% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.2% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.3% ( 0.01) | 41.7% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.9% ( 0.01) | 64.1% ( -0.01) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.41% ( 0.01) | 18.59% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.13% ( 0.02) | 49.87% ( -0.02) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.95% ( 0) | 26.05% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.91% ( 0) | 61.09% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 45.45% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.31% 2-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |