Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Marseille |
34.58% ( 0.25) | 25.77% ( -0.08) | 39.64% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 54.81% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.65% ( 0.38) | 49.34% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.6% ( 0.34) | 71.39% ( -0.34) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.62% ( 0.34) | 27.37% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.15% ( 0.43) | 62.84% ( -0.44) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.47% ( 0.08) | 24.53% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41% ( 0.11) | 59% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Marseille |
1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.97% Total : 34.59% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 39.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |