Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Auxerre2 - 1Lyon
We said: Auxerre 1-2 Lyon
Homefield has not been much of an advantage for the Burgundy club, who have been inconsistent and disorganised at the back through most of the campaign, and a striker as deadly as Lacazette in the attacking third will likely make them pay. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Lyon |
20.67% ( -0.56) | 22.62% ( 0.32) | 56.71% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 53.99% ( -1.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
