Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Angers | Draw | Auxerre |
37.9% ( -0.2) | 26.27% ( -0.13) | 35.82% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 53.29% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.64% ( 0.57) | 51.36% ( -0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.81% ( 0.49) | 73.18% ( -0.5) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% ( 0.15) | 26.4% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% ( 0.2) | 61.56% ( -0.21) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.4% ( 0.47) | 27.6% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.87% ( 0.6) | 63.13% ( -0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Angers | Draw | Auxerre |
1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.9% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |