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Premier League | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The City Ground
Brighton logo

Nott'm Forest
2 - 3
Brighton

Elanga (3'), Gibbs-White (76' pen.)
Toffolo (54'), Niakhate (74')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ferguson (26'), Pedro (45+4', 58' pen.)
Adingra (65'), Dunk (72'), Ferguson (74'), Verbruggen (82'), Buonanotte (90+4')
Dunk (73')

The Match

Match Report

Ten-man Brighton & Hove Albion hold on for a hard-fought 3-2 win over Nottingham Forest at the City Ground.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham 3-2 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
29.1% (-0.225 -0.23) 23.99% (-0.101 -0.1) 46.91% (0.328 0.33)
Both teams to score 58.54% (0.2 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.55% (0.33000000000001 0.33)43.44% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.16% (0.324 0.32)65.84% (-0.321 -0.32)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (0.013000000000005 0.01)28% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.35% (0.017000000000003 0.02)63.65% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.31% (0.264 0.26)18.69% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.97% (0.44 0.44)50.03% (-0.438 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 29.1%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 46.91%
    Draw 23.99%
Nottingham ForestDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 7.11% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.66% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 29.1%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.23% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.24% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.33% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.2% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.4% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 46.91%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Brighton

Nottingham Forest
33.3%
Draw
28.9%
Brighton & Hove Albion
37.7%
114
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 33
Nott'm Forest
3-1
Brighton
Gross (45+3' og.), Danilo (69'), Gibbs-White (90+1' pen.)
Oct 18, 2022 7.30pm
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Nott'm Forest
3-0
Brighton
Clough (60', 98' pen.), Osborn (89')

Stephens (45'), Dunk (63'), Rosenior (98')
Aug 12, 2016 7.45pm
Brighton
3-0
Nott'm Forest
Knockaert (36'), Murray (68', 82')
Bong (43'), Hemed (58'), Baldock (88')

Kasami (45'), Iacovitti (59'), Burke (67'), Pereira (73'), Lansbury (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal37275589286186
2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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