Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.33%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 23.71% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Braga |
23.71% ( 0.05) | 21.96% ( 0.03) | 54.33% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 60.52% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.45% ( -0.1) | 38.55% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.15% ( -0.11) | 60.85% ( 0.11) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.55% ( -0.01) | 29.45% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.55% ( -0.02) | 65.45% ( 0.02) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.78% ( -0.06) | 14.22% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.05% ( -0.12) | 41.95% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Braga |
2-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 23.71% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.97% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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