MX23RW : Thursday, May 9 23:12:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Sporting Lisbon

Braga
1 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Djalo (78')
Niakate (45+4'), Jorge (45+6'), Carvalho (83')
Jorge (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Goncalves (25')
Gyokeres (27'), Morita (33'), Amorim (40'), Inacio (90'), Goncalves (90'), Diomande (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Panathinaikos 0-1 Braga
Tuesday, August 29 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Braga 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

Braga and Sporting Lisbon have both put together a fine run of form to start the season and we anticipate an end-to-end affair at the Estadio Braga Municipal. Amorim's side have won each of their last three Primeira Liga away games and we fancy them snatching all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Braga had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawSporting Lisbon
36.81% (0.463 0.46) 25.66% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 37.52% (-0.553 -0.55)
Both teams to score 55.4% (-0.29 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32% (-0.381 -0.38)48.68% (0.38 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.2% (-0.349 -0.35)70.79% (0.346 0.35)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (0.084000000000003 0.08)25.76% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.29% (0.113 0.11)60.71% (-0.114 -0.11)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.47800000000001 -0.48)25.37% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66)60.16% (0.66 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Braga 36.81%
    Sporting Lisbon 37.52%
    Draw 25.66%
BragaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.035 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.72% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 36.81%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.52%

How you voted: Braga vs Sporting Lisbon

Braga
25.9%
Draw
3.7%
Sporting Lisbon
70.4%
27
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 18
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Morita (9', 46'), Edwards (61'), Reis (86'), Goncalves (90+3' pen.)
Dec 19, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Inacio (4'), Paulinho (7'), Goncalves (20' pen.), Trincao (41'), Edwards (45+4' pen.)
Aug 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 1
Braga
3-3
Sporting Lisbon
Banza (14'), Niakate (45+1'), Ruiz (88')
Niakate (22'), Elmusrati (24')
Goncalves (9'), Santos (18'), Edwards (83')
Nunes (68'), Goncalves (74')
Jan 22, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Braga
Goncalves (24')
Sarabia (45'), Coates (51'), Nunes (90+1')
Galeno (52' pen.), Gorby (90+7')
Castro (57'), Ruiz (90+2'), Hornicek (90+7'), Magalhaes (90+9')
Aug 14, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Braga
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Ruiz (90+2')
Silva (22'), Fransergio (37'), Galeno (69')
Cabral (40'), Goncalves (50')
Coates (57'), Reis (70'), Adan (90+4')
Reis (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon32273292296384
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao32912113539-439
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3261793540-535
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3296174855-733
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora32612143249-1730
16PortimonensePortimonense3277183469-3528
17ChavesChaves3258193168-3723
RVizela32410183064-3422


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!