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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Tranmere Rovers

Crewe
1 - 0
Tranmere

Colkett (34')
Agyei (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Davies (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Carlisle
Thursday, December 29 at 7pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-2 Tranmere
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Tranmere Rovers

Tranmere have already defeated Crewe twice this season, running out comfortable 3-0 winners in the home clash, so there is no reason why they should not be able to secure another victory on Sunday. The Rovers have had a solid defence throughout the season, and so they are likely to keep a clean sheet, but their lack of goals means they should only win by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.27%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawTranmere Rovers
25.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 27.57% (0.004999999999999 0) 47.27% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.95% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)60.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)80.27% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.64% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.49% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)60.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 25.16%
    Tranmere Rovers 47.27%
    Draw 27.56%
Crewe AlexandraDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 9.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 5.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.79% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 25.16%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 13.93%
0-2 @ 9.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 47.27%

How you voted: Crewe vs Tranmere

Crewe Alexandra
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Tranmere Rovers
42.9%
14
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Oct 14, 2022 7.45pm
Tranmere
3-0
Crewe
Simeu (22'), Nevitt (56', 90')
Merrie (52')
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Crewe
3-2
Tranmere
Ainley (20', 51'), Kirk (67')
Norwood (36'), Banks (83')
Mullin (79'), Banks (89'), Norwood (89')
Sep 4, 2018 7.45pm
Tranmere
3-4
Crewe
Harris (45'), Stockton (45'), Mullin (46')
Gilmour (80'), Jennings (90')
Porter (20', 85'), Nicholls (73'), Jones (86')
Ray (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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