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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Mansfield Town
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Salford City
Stockport County
Sutton United
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Prenton Park
Crewe Alexandra

Tranmere
3 - 0
Crewe

Simeu (22'), Nevitt (56', 90')
Merrie (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-0 Crewe Alexandra

With Tranmere on such an impressive run of form, it is difficult to see past them making it five consecutive wins on Friday. Crewe will not make it easy for them however, having taken decent points away at Carlisle United and Bradford City, and so we expect Tranmere to win by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawCrewe Alexandra
53.27% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 24.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 21.76% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.32% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.48% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)53.52% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.96% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)75.03% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.93% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)20.07% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.7% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)52.3% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.45% (-0.11 -0.11)39.55% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.77% (-0.101 -0.1)76.23% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 53.26%
    Crewe Alexandra 21.76%
    Draw 24.96%
Tranmere RoversDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 12.74% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.23% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 5.48% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 53.26%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 21.76%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Crewe

Tranmere Rovers
81.3%
Draw
4.2%
Crewe Alexandra
14.6%
48
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Crewe
3-2
Tranmere
Ainley (20', 51'), Kirk (67')
Norwood (36'), Banks (83')
Mullin (79'), Banks (89'), Norwood (89')
Sep 4, 2018 7.45pm
Tranmere
3-4
Crewe
Harris (45'), Stockton (45'), Mullin (46')
Gilmour (80'), Jennings (90')
Porter (20', 85'), Nicholls (73'), Jones (86')
Ray (79')
Jan 25, 2014 3pm
Tranmere
1-0
Crewe
Pennington (28')
Kennedy (36'), Koumas (83')

Evans (37'), Mellor (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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