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League One | Gameweek 12
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Oxford United

Sunderland
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Dajaku (7')
Wright (13'), Neill (40')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Taylor (36')
Brannagan (5'), Taylor (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Sunderland and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sunderland 1-2 Oxford United

Oxford will be boosted by the return of some key players and their confidence will be high having put together a strong run of form in League One and dealing with big hits to their squad. Sunderland are also not in bad form themselves but their run across the end of October and beginning of November shows that there are still weaknesses for Oxford to exploit on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawOxford United
45.98%25.82%28.19%
Both teams to score 51.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.16%51.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.4%73.6%
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49%22.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.91%56.08%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01%32.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.43%69.57%
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 45.98%
    Oxford United 28.2%
    Draw 25.82%
SunderlandDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 11.07%
2-1 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 8.26%
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-0 @ 4.1%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 45.98%
1-1 @ 12.28%
0-0 @ 7.43%
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.24%
1-2 @ 6.81%
0-2 @ 4.57%
1-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 28.2%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Oxford Utd

Sunderland
68.4%
Draw
5.3%
Oxford United
26.3%
19
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Sunderland
3-1
Oxford Utd
Gooch (45+2'), McGeady (81'), Power (90+4')
McLaughlin (19'), Stewart (89'), Power (90+5')
Henry (21')
Sykes (25'), Barker (25'), Henry (54'), Moore (81')
Sykes (61')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Oxford Utd
0-2
Sunderland

Kelly (41')
O'Nien (47'), Gooch (82')
Power (24')
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
Oct 29, 2019 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Oxford Utd
1-1
Sunderland
Oxford Utd win 4-2 on penalties
Aug 3, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 1
Sunderland
1-1
Oxford Utd
Gooch (49' pen.)
Gooch (70')
Fosu (14')
Mousinho (56'), Rodriguez (65'), Henry (95'), Brannagan (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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