La Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 5, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano0 - 0Athletic Bilbao
Mumin (21')
FT
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, February 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, February 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, March 1 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Wednesday, March 1 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
This has all the makings of a very interesting match, and cases can be made for both sides to pick up all three points. We are expecting a really close affair, though, ultimately settling on a 1-1 draw, which would not be the worst result in the world for either side at this stage of the season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
38.53% ( 0.32) | 27.47% ( -0.13) | 34% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 49.25% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
