Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Sevilla |
35.18% ( -0.21) | 26.71% ( -0.07) | 38.11% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 51.8% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.77% ( 0.28) | 53.22% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.21% ( 0.24) | 74.78% ( -0.24) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.1% ( 0.01) | 28.89% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.23% ( 0.01) | 64.76% ( -0.01) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.85% ( 0.29) | 27.15% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.45% ( 0.38) | 62.55% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.18% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |