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La Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 19, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Sevilla logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Sevilla

Lejeune (65')
Garcia (38'), Lejeune (49'), Isi (69'), Catena (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Suso (29')
En-Nesyri (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, February 12 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 PSV
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Sevilla

Rayo will certainly be the fresher of the two teams heading into this match, and they will fancy their chances of putting another win on the board here. Sevilla will enter the contest off the back of two strong results, though, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawSevilla
35.18% (-0.212 -0.21) 26.71% (-0.073 -0.07) 38.11% (0.284 0.28)
Both teams to score 51.8% (0.214 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.77% (0.28 0.28)53.22% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21% (0.239 0.24)74.78% (-0.241 -0.24)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.89% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)64.76% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (0.29299999999999 0.29)27.15% (-0.295 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (0.383 0.38)62.55% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 35.18%
    Sevilla 38.11%
    Draw 26.7%
Rayo VallecanoDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 9.74% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.05% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.18%
1-1 @ 12.69% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 10.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.67% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.9% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.11%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla

Rayo Vallecano
33.3%
Draw
40.0%
Sevilla
26.7%
105
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 5.30pm
Mar 13, 2022 1pm
Aug 15, 2021 9.15pm
Sevilla
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
En-Nesyri (19' pen.), Lamela (55', 79')
Idrissi (45+5')

Zidane (16')
Apr 25, 2019 6.30pm
Sevilla
5-0
Rayo Vallecano
Promes (55'), El Haddadi (57', 62'), Ben Yedder (69'), Gil (86')
Banega (31')

Galvez (33'), Angel Pozo (52')
Aug 19, 2018 7.15pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-4
Sevilla
Embarba (85' pen.)
Angel Pozo (12')
Vazquez (15'), Silva (31', 45', 79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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