Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Girona had a probability of 26.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Girona win it was 1-0 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Sevilla |
26.43% ( -0.04) | 26.65% ( 0.01) | 46.92% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.21% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.95% ( -0.07) | 56.06% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.87% ( -0.06) | 77.13% ( 0.06) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.34% ( -0.07) | 36.66% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.55% ( -0.08) | 73.45% ( 0.07) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.11% ( -0.02) | 23.89% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.91% ( -0.03) | 58.09% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.41% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 26.43% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.28% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.58% Total : 46.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |